Monday, September 13, 2010

About those Cratering Approval Numbers - June 2010 Edition.

(From June 28, 2010)


Last week NBC/WSJ ran a poll showing that the President's Approval numbers were slipping.  Drudge, of course reveled in this headline, as he does with any poll, published by almost anyone, showing downward movement in the President's numbers.  The punditocrasy jumped on this poll, and right wing talkers once again exclaimed that Obama was "cratering.".

See, the thing is - as I've noted before - this theme of cratering numbers isn't accurate.  Not that you'd ever know it since the 'normal' media seems to be averse to reporting these things and the Democratic Party has got their heads so far up their asses that they can't seize on any good news especially good news coming out of the opposition camp.

A quick scan of this morning's Rasmussen Polls actually shows some very interesting numbers.  Let me note again that Ras is the gold-standard for Neo-Con polling, so these numbers would appear to be rather telling.

First, Obama's approve/disapprove numbers are the SAME today as they were when Congress last recessed for the summer (49-50 today, and 48-51 on July 31, 2009.)  And all of this comes over the course of a year during which, among many other things, Obama supposedly socialized healthcare, the allegedly unqualified Sonya Sotomayor was selected and confirmed to the Supreme Court, and the President bullied BP into paying for causing the Gulf disaster.  All of which, as the Republicans would would like you to believe, done against the wishes of the American people.

It would seem to most that had the President done so poorly since last July that his numbers would be actually lower than they were then.  But even according to the all-seeing Ras, they aren't.  What gives?

Some other fun facts are that since April 20th - the day the BP Deepwater Horizon rig caught fire and sunk - the President's approval rating is totally unchanged at 49-50.  And the percentage of those who "strongly disapprove" of the President is the lowest that it's been since February 18, 2010.

Finally, after a two week period, during which the President met with the heads of BP and dismissed the loose-lipped commanding general of the Afghanistan war his approval numbers have gone up....wait for it....8 POINTS.  Did I mention that this was according to Rasmussen?  8 POINTS seems like a lot of action during a 10 day period doesn't it?  If a clearly partisan pollster like Rasmussen can't support the theme of a Presidency in free-fall, who can?

So why are we continually being led to believe that his numbers are "Cratering"?  And why are so few people countering these myths with facts? 

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